American billionaire Elon Musk predicts that artificial intelligence (AI) development will further advance to outsmart even the smartest human by at least 2024 to 2026 at the latest.
AI to outsmart humans next year
Tesla Chief Executive Elon Musk spoke on an X Spaces call with Norwegian hedge fund AKO Capital founder Nicolai Tangen on Monday. The interview tackled multiple topics, including AI, space exploration, and some details about Tesla’s plans to enter India.
During the wide-ranging interview, the American business tycoon made his prediction about a potential development of AI that would be more intelligent than the smartest human probably by 2025 or 2026. CEO Elon Musk also said that AI’s total amount of computing power of AI will surpass all humans in 5 years.
“My guess is that we’ll have AI that is smarter than any one human, probably, by the end of next year. The total amount of, sort of, sentient compute of AI, I think will probably exceed all humans in five years.”
Tesla CEO and xAI Founder Elon Musk
xAI’s Grok development
Elon Musk also stated in the X Spaces interview with Nicolai Tangen that various factors, such as electricity and lack of advanced chips, continuously impede AI advancements.
The American business tycoon also shared that his xAI startup plans to train the next version of the Grok AI chatbot by May this year. However, the lack of advanced chips impedes xAI’s training of Grok’s version 2 model.
He outlined that Grok 2’s training took approximately 20,000 Nvidia H100 GPUs. He estimated that training the Grok 3 model and beyond will necessitate 100,000 Nvidia H100 chips.
In hindsight, CEO Musk founded xAI in 2023 to challenge OpenAI, which he also helped establish. However, he recently filed a case against OpenAI as it allegedly ditched its founding mission to develop AI to benefit humanity and operate as a not-for-profit organization. OpenAI renounced the allegations.
Call for regulatory measures to control AI advancement
Tesla and xAI CEO also called for a regulatory division to regulate the AI industry’s rapid growth.
Elon Musk claims that the technology has already advanced at a “too fast” rate for any agency to keep up. He also reiterated recent warnings about AI being programmed to be “politically correct,” like Google’s Gemini AI.
“But I do have a comment for what I think is very important for achieving safe AI, which is that it’s very important to train the AI to be as truthful as possible. I think you can get some very dangerous things when you program an AI to be politically correct.
I think that things may seem relatively innocuous now, but will not be so in the future if AI has immense power. You can take the Google Gemini example where it refused to produce a picture of George Washington as a white man, and any impact, any historical figure, would automatically be made diverse, because it’s been programmed to insist on diversity.
Which sounds you know, perhaps okay at first, but not if the AI has so much power that it can actually enforce diversity and decide there’s too many of one kind of people, or too many of one sex, and just kill off enough until the diversity numbers is what is programmed to believe is correct.”
Tesla CEO and xAI Founder Elon Musk
You can access the full X Spaces interview call here.
